Hassania Agadir 2-1 FAR Rabat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.18
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
55%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 34% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
11%
+8.3pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
55%
Away Win
66%
-11.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+10.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-10.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.3pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hassania Agadir EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY FAR Rabat EU Bookmakers 70%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.74/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/0.78
+3% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -9%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
243 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hassania Agadir
1W-0D-5L
AWAY FAR Rabat
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2023 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat 2-1 HT 0-0 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir FAS
10.04.2023 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 2-1 HT 0-1 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat FAS
27.10.2022 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat 2-1 HT 1-0 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir FAS
16.06.2022 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat 2-1 HT 0-0 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir FAS
07.11.2021 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 1-2 HT 0-2 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat FAS
17.07.2021 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 0-1 HT 0-1 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hassania Agadir
2-1
AWAY FAR Rabat
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hassania Agadir nicked a narrow win over FAR Rabat 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. FAR Rabat carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hassania Agadir had 38% of the ball to FAR Rabat's 62%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FAR Rabat led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hassania Agadir and 1.67 for FAR Rabat.

What was the final score of Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat?

Hassania Agadir 2-1 FAR Rabat in the Morocco - League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat?

Before kick-off our model rated an FAR Rabat win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hassania Agadir 20%, draw 25%, FAR Rabat 55%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FAR Rabat) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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