PSG 3-3 Le Havre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 27 Apr 2024

PSG
3-3 HT 1-2
Le Havre
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

PSG vs Le Havre Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.93
2-3 Goals
42%
1.95
4-5 Goals
26%
2.78
6+ Goals
10%
7.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.6
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.8
X/1
17%
3.58
X/2
5%
16.1
X/X
13%
7.47
2/1
8%
21.0
2/2
9%
12.05
2/X
5%
20.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
-12.0pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.9pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSG v Le Havre — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSG EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
2.16/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.92
+24% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +33%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
511 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
33.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
15.2 Crosses 12.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

PSG vs Le Havre Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Le Havre
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
1.18 xG 2.03
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
339 Passes 566
82% Pass Accuracy 91%
13 Box Touches 42
6 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Le Havre Le Havre 0-2 HT 0-1 PSG PSG FR1
19.04.2009 PSG PSG 3-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
15.11.2008 Le Havre Le Havre 1-3 HT 0-2 PSG PSG FR1
15.01.2003 PSG PSG 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
25.08.2002 Le Havre Le Havre 0-1 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1

PSG 3-3 Le Havre — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG
3-3
AWAY Le Havre
2.64 xG 1.02
77% Ball Possession 23%
17 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
659 Passes 145
89% Pass Accuracy 66%
24 Box Touches 7
31 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSG vs Le Havre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG and Le Havre shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. PSG carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, PSG had 77% of the ball to Le Havre's 23%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 2.64 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, PSG had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for PSG and 0.20 for Le Havre.

What was the final score of PSG vs Le Havre?

PSG 3-3 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSG vs Le Havre?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split PSG 57%, draw 24%, Le Havre 19%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (PSG), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSG) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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