Hungry Lions 1-2 Baroka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hungry Lions EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Baroka EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.08/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.38
-16% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hungry Lions
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Baroka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
04.11.2023 Baroka Baroka 2-0 HT 0-0 Hungry Lions Hungry Lions GAF1
23.02.2020 Baroka Baroka 2-2 HT 0-1 Hungry Lions Hungry Lions GAF8K
POST-MATCH Hungry Lions vs Baroka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baroka squeezed past Hungry Lions 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Baroka made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Baroka led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hungry Lions and 2.00 for Baroka.

What was the final score of Hungry Lions vs Baroka?

Hungry Lions 1-2 Baroka in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hungry Lions vs Baroka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hungry Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hungry Lions 38%, draw 31%, Baroka 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hungry Lions) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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