Daegu II 2-4 Paju Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.84
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
31%
-4.1pp
34%
Draw
26%
+7.6pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-3.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.6pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu II EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 48%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.50/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.62
-54% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
242 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Daegu II vs Paju Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paju Citizen saw off Daegu II 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (27% / 34% / 39%) promised a tight game; Paju Citizen found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Daegu II vs Paju Citizen?

Daegu II 2-4 Paju Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daegu II vs Paju Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paju Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Daegu II 27%, draw 34%, Paju Citizen 39%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paju Citizen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paju Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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