Bijelo Brdo 1-0 HNK Cibalia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.3pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.40/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.28
+3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bijelo Brdo
2W-1D-0L
AWAY HNK Cibalia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
02.03.2024 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 2-2 HT 1-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
22.09.2021 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 1-0 HT 1-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIRK
25.09.2019 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 1-0 HT 1-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bijelo Brdo
1-0
AWAY HNK Cibalia
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bijelo Brdo vs HNK Cibalia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bijelo Brdo edged past HNK Cibalia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bijelo Brdo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Bijelo Brdo had 61% of the ball to HNK Cibalia's 39%, shots finished 14-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bijelo Brdo had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bijelo Brdo and 0.67 for HNK Cibalia.

What was the final score of Bijelo Brdo vs HNK Cibalia?

Bijelo Brdo 1-0 HNK Cibalia in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bijelo Brdo vs HNK Cibalia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bijelo Brdo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bijelo Brdo 46%, draw 27%, HNK Cibalia 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bijelo Brdo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bijelo Brdo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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