Southern District RSA 0-1 Lee Man — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.34
Draw
36%
3.64
Away
38%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.38
Over 2.5
42%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
16%
+9.8pp
36%
Draw
25%
+11.7pp
38%
Away Win
59%
-21.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
38%
+19.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
62%
-19.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.6pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southern District RSA EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Lee Man EU Bookmakers 62%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.59/2.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/0.91
-43% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +5%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
232 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southern District RSA
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Lee Man
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Lee Man Lee Man 3-2 HT 1-2 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
18.02.2023 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 0-2 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
10.12.2022 Lee Man Lee Man 0-2 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HONFK
03.09.2022 Lee Man Lee Man 1-3 HT 1-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
23.04.2021 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 1-2 HT 1-1 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
13.03.2021 Lee Man Lee Man 2-1 HT 2-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southern District RSA
0-1
AWAY Lee Man
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Southern District RSA vs Lee Man
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lee Man squeezed past Southern District RSA 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 26% / 36% / 38% — and on the day Lee Man made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Southern District RSA had 41% of the ball to Lee Man's 59%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lee Man led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Southern District RSA and 1.67 for Lee Man.

What was the final score of Southern District RSA vs Lee Man?

Southern District RSA 0-1 Lee Man in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southern District RSA vs Lee Man?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Southern District RSA 26%, draw 36%, Lee Man 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lee Man), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lee Man) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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