Burnley U21 2-3 Bristol City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 27 Apr 2024

Burnley U21
2-3 HT 0-1
Bristol City U21
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Professional Development League – 2023/2024

Burnley U21 vs Bristol City U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.35
No
38%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
70%
-8.4pp
38%
BTTS No
30%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Burnley U21 v Bristol City U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burnley U21 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol City U21 EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
2.28/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/3.34
+19% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -53%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Burnley U21 vs Bristol City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol City U21 nicked a narrow win over Burnley U21 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Burnley U21 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

What was the final score of Burnley U21 vs Bristol City U21?

Burnley U21 2-3 Bristol City U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burnley U21 vs Bristol City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Burnley U21 46%, draw 24%, Bristol City U21 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Burnley U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burnley U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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