Urawa Red (K) 2-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.29
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
11%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Urawa Red (K) win — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
73%
-7.5pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.5pp
12%
Away Win
10%
+2.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.19/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.50
+12% / +140% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +26%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red (K)
2-0
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Urawa Red (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red (K) saw off Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Urawa Red (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Urawa Red (K) had 46% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)'s 54%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Urawa Red (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Urawa Red (K) 2-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red (K) 66%, draw 23%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 12%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Urawa Red (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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