JFK Ventspils vs Progress / AFA Olaine Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
JFK Ventspils v Progress / AFA Olaine — Team-Based Signals
JFK Ventspils vs Progress / AFA Olaine Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
JFK Ventspils
LET1
1-2
HT 1-1
Progress / AFA Olaine
LET1
JFK Ventspils and Progress / AFA Olaine couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was JFK Ventspils at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Progress / AFA Olaine led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for JFK Ventspils and 1.50 for Progress / AFA Olaine.
What was the final score of JFK Ventspils vs Progress / AFA Olaine?
JFK Ventspils 2-2 Progress / AFA Olaine in the Latvia - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for JFK Ventspils vs Progress / AFA Olaine?
Before kick-off our model rated a JFK Ventspils win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split JFK Ventspils 48%, draw 26%, Progress / AFA Olaine 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (JFK Ventspils), BTTS No went the other way.