FK Tukums 2000 vs Valmiera / BSS Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FK Tukums 2000 v Valmiera / BSS — Team-Based Signals
FK Tukums 2000 vs Valmiera / BSS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-1
Valmiera / BSS
LET
0-1
HT 0-1
FK Tukums 2000
LETK
6-0
HT 3-0
FK Tukums 2000
LET
0-0
HT 0-0
Valmiera / BSS
LET
4-3
HT 1-2
FK Tukums 2000
LET
1-1
HT 1-0
Valmiera / BSS
LET
FK Tukums 2000 1-2 Valmiera / BSS — Actual Match Statistics
Valmiera / BSS squeezed past FK Tukums 2000 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Valmiera / BSS as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 42% of the ball to Valmiera / BSS's 58%, shots finished 10-28, expected goals 0.62 to 2.79 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Valmiera / BSS's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 2.17 for Valmiera / BSS.
What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Valmiera / BSS?
FK Tukums 2000 1-2 Valmiera / BSS in the Latvia - Virsliga on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Valmiera / BSS?
Before kick-off our model rated an Valmiera / BSS win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 27%, draw 23%, Valmiera / BSS 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valmiera / BSS) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.