Doma United 0-0 Kwara United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 27 Apr 2024

Doma United
0-0 HT 0-0
Kwara United
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2023/2024

Doma United vs Kwara United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
19%
Away Win
19%
-0.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.1pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Doma United v Kwara United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doma United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kwara United EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.31/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.23
-13% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Doma United vs Kwara United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doma United and Kwara United fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Doma United at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Doma United vs Kwara United?

Doma United 0-0 Kwara United in the Nigeria NPFL on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doma United vs Kwara United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Doma United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Doma United 55%, draw 26%, Kwara United 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Doma United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Doma United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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