Trygg/Lade 0-0 Melhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.98
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
-7.4pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.0pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+1.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.6pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trygg/Lade EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Melhus EU Bookmakers 22%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.97/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.19
+16% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.2 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trygg/Lade
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Melhus
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
13.08.2022 Melhus Melhus 0-3 HT 0-0 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
18.06.2022 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade 0-1 HT 0-1 Melhus Melhus NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trygg/Lade
0-0
AWAY Melhus
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trygg/Lade vs Melhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trygg/Lade and Melhus played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Trygg/Lade at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trygg/Lade had 58% of the ball to Melhus's 42%, shots finished 19-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Trygg/Lade and 0.50 for Melhus.

What was the final score of Trygg/Lade vs Melhus?

Trygg/Lade 0-0 Melhus in the Norway - 3rd Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trygg/Lade vs Melhus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trygg/Lade win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Trygg/Lade 55%, draw 25%, Melhus 20%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trygg/Lade) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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