UTC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
UTC Cajamarca v Atletico Grau — Team-Based Signals
UTC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 1-1
UTC Cajamarca
PER
1-1
HT 0-0
Atletico Grau
PER
3-1
HT 1-1
UTC Cajamarca
PER
0-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Grau
PER
0-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Grau
PER
0-0
HT 0-0
UTC Cajamarca
PER
UTC Cajamarca 3-2 Atletico Grau — Actual Match Statistics
UTC Cajamarca squeezed past Atletico Grau 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had UTC Cajamarca as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 37% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 63%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.34 to 0.58 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold UTC Cajamarca's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Grau led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 1.33 for Atletico Grau.
What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau?
UTC Cajamarca 3-2 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau?
Before kick-off our model rated a UTC Cajamarca win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 44%, draw 30%, Atletico Grau 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UTC Cajamarca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.