Bursa Yıldırımspor 1-0 Bergama Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.29
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
73%
-10.2pp
19%
Draw
17%
+2.2pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bursa Yıldırımspor EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergama Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 12%
-77% / -77% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.98
-100% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bursa Yıldırımspor
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Bergama Belediyespor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
20.12.2023 Bergama Belediyespor Bergama Belediyespor 1-2 HT 0-1 Bursa Yıldırımspor Bursa Yıldırımspor S3-2
12.04.2023 Bergama Belediyespor Bergama Belediyespor 1-2 HT 0-1 Bursa Yıldırımspor Bursa Yıldırımspor S3-3
10.01.2021 Bergama Belediyespor Bergama Belediyespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Bursa Yıldırımspor Bursa Yıldırımspor S3-4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bursa Yıldırımspor
1-0
AWAY Bergama Belediyespor
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Bergama Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bursa Yıldırımspor edged past Bergama Belediyespor 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bursa Yıldırımspor as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bursa Yıldırımspor had 50% of the ball to Bergama Belediyespor's 50%, shots finished 8-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bursa Yıldırımspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bursa Yıldırımspor and 0.67 for Bergama Belediyespor.

What was the final score of Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Bergama Belediyespor?

Bursa Yıldırımspor 1-0 Bergama Belediyespor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Bergama Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bursa Yıldırımspor win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Bursa Yıldırımspor 63%, draw 19%, Bergama Belediyespor 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bursa Yıldırımspor), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bursa Yıldırımspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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