Erbaaspor 1-0 Belediye Kütahyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 3.Grup, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erbaaspor EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Belediye Kütahyaspor EU Bookmakers 22%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.68/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.39
-54% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erbaaspor
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Belediye Kütahyaspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
20.12.2023 Belediye Kütahyaspor Belediye Kütahyaspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor S3-3
07.05.2022 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor 1-4 HT 0-2 Belediye Kütahyaspor Belediye Kütahyaspor S3-1
19.12.2021 Belediye Kütahyaspor Belediye Kütahyaspor 3-1 HT 1-1 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor S3-1
POST-MATCH Erbaaspor vs Belediye Kütahyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbaaspor squeezed past Belediye Kütahyaspor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Erbaaspor as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Belediye Kütahyaspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Erbaaspor and 2.67 for Belediye Kütahyaspor.

What was the final score of Erbaaspor vs Belediye Kütahyaspor?

Erbaaspor 1-0 Belediye Kütahyaspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 3.Grup on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erbaaspor vs Belediye Kütahyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erbaaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Erbaaspor 53%, draw 24%, Belediye Kütahyaspor 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erbaaspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Erbaaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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