Alanya Kestelspor 1-1 Sultanbeyli Bld. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.3
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.88
No
60%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
72%
-5.2pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.6pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+3.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.3pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanya Kestelspor EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Sultanbeyli Bld. EU Bookmakers 14%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/2.46
+110% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -32%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
456 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanya Kestelspor
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sultanbeyli Bld.
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.12.2023 Sultanbeyli Bld. Sultanbeyli Bld. 1-1 HT 0-1 Alanya Kestelspor Alanya Kestelspor S3-4
25.03.2021 Alanya Kestelspor Alanya Kestelspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Sultanbeyli Bld. Sultanbeyli Bld. S3-4
29.11.2020 Sultanbeyli Bld. Sultanbeyli Bld. 0-1 HT 0-0 Alanya Kestelspor Alanya Kestelspor S3-4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanya Kestelspor
1-1
AWAY Sultanbeyli Bld.
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alanya Kestelspor vs Sultanbeyli Bld.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanya Kestelspor and Sultanbeyli Bld. shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Alanya Kestelspor at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alanya Kestelspor had 61% of the ball to Sultanbeyli Bld.'s 39%, shots finished 22-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alanya Kestelspor and 1.00 for Sultanbeyli Bld..

What was the final score of Alanya Kestelspor vs Sultanbeyli Bld.?

Alanya Kestelspor 1-1 Sultanbeyli Bld. in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanya Kestelspor vs Sultanbeyli Bld.?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanya Kestelspor win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Alanya Kestelspor 67%, draw 19%, Sultanbeyli Bld. 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alanya Kestelspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alanya Kestelspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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