Minai 2-0 Chornomorets Odessa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-8.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minai EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 50%
+13% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -31%
0.96/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.79
-6% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -47%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minai
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 3-0 HT 1-0 Minai Minai UKR
20.05.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 HT 0-0 Minai Minai UKR
10.11.2022 Minai Minai 0-1 HT 0-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
12.09.2021 Minai Minai 2-2 HT 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
POST-MATCH Minai vs Chornomorets Odessa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minai got the better of Chornomorets Odessa 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Minai made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chornomorets Odessa led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Minai and 1.50 for Chornomorets Odessa.

What was the final score of Minai vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Minai 2-0 Chornomorets Odessa in the Ukraine - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minai vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chornomorets Odessa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Minai 35%, draw 26%, Chornomorets Odessa 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chornomorets Odessa), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chornomorets Odessa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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