Cerro Largo 2-0 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.1pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.7pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -3%
1.10/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.06
-7% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Largo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Boston River
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
06.05.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-2 HT 0-2 Boston River Boston River URU
05.09.2022 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-1 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
20.07.2022 Boston River Boston River 2-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
25.02.2022 Boston River Boston River 3-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
04.11.2021 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-1 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
POST-MATCH Cerro Largo vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Largo saw off Boston River 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Cerro Largo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boston River led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cerro Largo and 1.50 for Boston River.

What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Boston River?

Cerro Largo 2-0 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boston River win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 34%, draw 31%, Boston River 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Boston River) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boston River) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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