Everton (K) 2-3 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
31%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
+7.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
31%
Away Win
42%
-11.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.51/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/2.21
+13% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -63%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 82%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.6
15.5 Crosses 20.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton (K)
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.61 xG 1.45
49% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
305 Passes 319
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
19.04.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
01.10.2023 Everton (K) Everton (K) 1-2 HT 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
27.10.2019 Everton (K) Everton (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
13.01.2019 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
14.10.2018 Everton (K) Everton (K) 3-3 HT 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton (K)
2-3
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
0.89 xG 2.35
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
317 Passes 419
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 32
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Everton (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) edged past Everton (K) 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Brighton & Hove Albion (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Everton (K) had 44% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion (K)'s 56%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.89 to 2.35 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Brighton & Hove Albion (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Everton (K) and 1.67 for Brighton & Hove Albion (K).

What was the final score of Everton (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Everton (K) 2-3 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Everton (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Everton (K) 38%, draw 30%, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Everton (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Everton (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNKPL More England - Women's Premier League
27 Apr 2025
14:00 Liverpool (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K) Analysis →
14:30 Crystal Palace (K) vs West Ham United (K) Analysis →
17:00 Leicester City WFC (K) vs Manchester City (K) Analysis →