Varbergs GIF 0-1 Astorp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.4pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs GIF EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Astorp EU Bookmakers 28%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.09/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-44% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varbergs GIF
0-1
AWAY Astorp
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Varbergs GIF vs Astorp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Astorp squeezed past Varbergs GIF 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Varbergs GIF at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Varbergs GIF had 52% of the ball to Astorp's 48%, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of Varbergs GIF vs Astorp?

Varbergs GIF 0-1 Astorp in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs GIF vs Astorp?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varbergs GIF win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Varbergs GIF 42%, draw 26%, Astorp 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Varbergs GIF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
27 Apr 2025
00:00 Syrianska Eskilstuna vs Arameiska / Syrianska Analysis →
14:00 Onsala vs Tvaaker Analysis →
15:00 Böljan vs Bergdalens Analysis →
15:00 Karlshamn vs Österlen Analysis →
17:00 Jarfalla vs IFK Österaker Analysis →
17:00 Ahlafors IF vs IK Tord Analysis →