Quilmes 0-1 Almagro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒01:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.33
No
52%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
39%
+8.9pp
52%
BTTS No
61%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quilmes EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Almagro EU Bookmakers 25%
+8% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +8%
1.58/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.51
+25% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quilmes
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Almagro
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
24.09.2022 Quilmes Quilmes 1-1 HT 1-1 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
21.10.2019 Almagro Almagro 2-1 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
22.05.2005 Almagro Almagro 2-0 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJ
07.11.2004 Quilmes Quilmes 1-0 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJ
FAQ Quilmes vs Almagro
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Almagro edged past Quilmes 1-0 away from home in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 27 Apr 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, Almagro lead the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Quilmes and 1.25 for Almagro.

What was the final score of Quilmes vs Almagro?

Quilmes 0-1 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quilmes vs Almagro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quilmes win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Quilmes 49%, draw 27%, Almagro 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Quilmes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Quilmes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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