Baranovichi 1-1 Dnepr Mogilev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2025

Baranovichi
1-1 HT 0-0
Dnepr Mogilev
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Belarus - 1st Division – 2025

Baranovichi vs Dnepr Mogilev Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Baranovichi v Dnepr Mogilev — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baranovichi EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 49%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.54/2.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.87
-63% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +52%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
342 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Baranovichi vs Dnepr Mogilev Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baranovichi
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.09.2021 Baranovichi Baranovichi 2-2 HT 2-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR1
11.07.2021 Baranovichi Baranovichi 1-0 HT 0-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR1
24.04.2021 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-0 HT 0-0 Baranovichi Baranovichi BLR1
POST-MATCH Baranovichi vs Dnepr Mogilev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baranovichi and Dnepr Mogilev shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dnepr Mogilev at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Baranovichi and 1.00 for Dnepr Mogilev.

What was the final score of Baranovichi vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Baranovichi 1-1 Dnepr Mogilev in the Belarus - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baranovichi vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dnepr Mogilev win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Baranovichi 31%, draw 23%, Dnepr Mogilev 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dnepr Mogilev), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dnepr Mogilev) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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