Torpedo Zhodino 1-1 ML Vitebsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.54
Over
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.22
2-3
41%
1.75
4-5
18%
5.06
6+
7%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Zhodino EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY ML Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+0% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
255 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Zhodino
1-1
AWAY ML Vitebsk
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torpedo Zhodino vs ML Vitebsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Zhodino and ML Vitebsk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Torpedo Zhodino at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Torpedo Zhodino had 47% of the ball to ML Vitebsk's 53%, shots finished 10-13.

What was the final score of Torpedo Zhodino vs ML Vitebsk?

Torpedo Zhodino 1-1 ML Vitebsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Zhodino vs ML Vitebsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Zhodino win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Zhodino 41%, draw 25%, ML Vitebsk 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLR More Belarus - Premier League
27 Apr 2025
16:00 Isloch Minsk vs FC Molodechno Analysis →
20:00 Dinamo Minsk vs FC Minsk Analysis →