WA Mostaganem 1-0 ASM Oran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.75
Over 2.5
32%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.09
No
65%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
26%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-5.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.2pp
68%
Under 2.5
53%
+14.3pp
32%
Over 2.5
47%
-14.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.7pp
65%
BTTS No
56%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME WA Mostaganem EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY ASM Oran EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
1.79/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.14
+15% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME WA Mostaganem
1W-1D-0L
AWAY ASM Oran
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2024 ASM Oran ASM Oran 0-0 HT 0-0 WA Mostaganem WA Mostaganem CZYR2
15.03.2024 WA Mostaganem WA Mostaganem 4-0 HT 2-0 ASM Oran ASM Oran CZYR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME WA Mostaganem
1-0
AWAY ASM Oran
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH WA Mostaganem vs ASM Oran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

WA Mostaganem squeezed past ASM Oran 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had WA Mostaganem as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, WA Mostaganem had 49% of the ball to ASM Oran's 51%, shots finished 19-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, WA Mostaganem had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for WA Mostaganem and 0.00 for ASM Oran.

What was the final score of WA Mostaganem vs ASM Oran?

WA Mostaganem 1-0 ASM Oran in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for WA Mostaganem vs ASM Oran?

Before kick-off our model rated a WA Mostaganem win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split WA Mostaganem 55%, draw 25%, ASM Oran 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (WA Mostaganem), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (WA Mostaganem) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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