Kisvarda 4-3 Szentlorinc SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-10.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kisvarda EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Szentlorinc SE EU Bookmakers 24%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +13%
2.43/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.16
+50% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kisvarda
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Szentlorinc SE
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2024 Szentlorinc SE Szentlorinc SE 1-2 HT 0-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kisvarda
4-3
AWAY Szentlorinc SE
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kisvarda vs Szentlorinc SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kisvarda squeezed past Szentlorinc SE 4-3. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kisvarda as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kisvarda had 47% of the ball to Szentlorinc SE's 53%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of Kisvarda vs Szentlorinc SE?

Kisvarda 4-3 Szentlorinc SE in the Hungary - NB II on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kisvarda vs Szentlorinc SE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kisvarda win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kisvarda 45%, draw 27%, Szentlorinc SE 28%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kisvarda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kisvarda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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