Elverum 0-1 Lorenskog — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.41
No
41%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.6
2-3 Goals
38%
2.02
4-5 Goals
29%
2.52
6+ Goals
11%
5.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
67%
-8.0pp
41%
BTTS No
33%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elverum EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorenskog EU Bookmakers 38%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.83/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.22
-10% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +64%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elverum
0-1
AWAY Lorenskog
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Elverum vs Lorenskog
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorenskog squeezed past Elverum 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Elverum at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Elverum had 42% of the ball to Lorenskog's 58%, shots finished 4-10.

What was the final score of Elverum vs Lorenskog?

Elverum 0-1 Lorenskog in the Norway - 3rd Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elverum vs Lorenskog?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elverum win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Elverum 41%, draw 25%, Lorenskog 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Elverum) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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