EGS Gafsa 1-0 AS Slimane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - Cup, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
58%
1.52
Over
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No Pick
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
44%
4-5
16%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.7pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.6pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EGS Gafsa EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Slimane EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
258 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EGS Gafsa
3W-1D-1L
AWAY AS Slimane
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2025 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 4-0 HT 2-0 AS Slimane AS Slimane TUN1
10.11.2024 AS Slimane AS Slimane 1-1 HT 1-0 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa TUN1
18.02.2024 AS Slimane AS Slimane 2-0 HT 1-0 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa TUN
26.12.2023 AS Slimane AS Slimane 0-2 HT 0-1 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa TUN1A
23.09.2023 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 1-0 HT 0-0 AS Slimane AS Slimane TUN1A
POST-MATCH EGS Gafsa vs AS Slimane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EGS Gafsa squeezed past AS Slimane 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had EGS Gafsa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, EGS Gafsa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for EGS Gafsa and 0.60 for AS Slimane.

What was the final score of EGS Gafsa vs AS Slimane?

EGS Gafsa 1-0 AS Slimane in the Tunisia - Cup on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EGS Gafsa vs AS Slimane?

Before kick-off our model rated a EGS Gafsa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split EGS Gafsa 44%, draw 23%, AS Slimane 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (EGS Gafsa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (EGS Gafsa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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