Balkan 1-0 IFK Trelleborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.8pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Balkan EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Trelleborg EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.87/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.48
-3% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Balkan
1W-1D-0L
AWAY IFK Trelleborg
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.08.2023 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg 2-2 HT 1-1 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
14.04.2023 Balkan Balkan 3-2 HT 0-1 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Balkan vs IFK Trelleborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Balkan squeezed past IFK Trelleborg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Balkan as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Balkan had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Balkan and 2.00 for IFK Trelleborg.

What was the final score of Balkan vs IFK Trelleborg?

Balkan 1-0 IFK Trelleborg in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Balkan vs IFK Trelleborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Balkan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Balkan 45%, draw 22%, IFK Trelleborg 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Balkan), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Balkan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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