Oriente Petrolero 0-1 The Strongest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.1
Over 2.5
41%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.63
No
56%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
44%
+14.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
56%
-14.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
57%
-13.4pp
56%
BTTS No
43%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY The Strongest EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.24/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.40
+4% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 71%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
18.8 Crosses 13.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oriente Petrolero
1W-3D-2L
AWAY The Strongest
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.99 xG 1.08
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
197 Passes 305
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
09.10.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-1 HT 0-1 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
23.04.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 0-0 HT 0-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
09.09.2022 The Strongest The Strongest 2-1 HT 1-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
18.04.2022 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-1 HT 1-1 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
07.02.2022 The Strongest The Strongest 2-0 HT 1-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
22.08.2021 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 2-0 HT 0-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oriente Petrolero
0-1
AWAY The Strongest
1.28 xG 1.10
41% Ball Possession 59%
21 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
160 Passes 279
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
33 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The Strongest nicked a narrow win over Oriente Petrolero 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Oriente Petrolero at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Oriente Petrolero had 41% of the ball to The Strongest's 59%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.28 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The Strongest led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Oriente Petrolero and 1.00 for The Strongest.

What was the final score of Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest?

Oriente Petrolero 0-1 The Strongest in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oriente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Oriente Petrolero 45%, draw 28%, The Strongest 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Oriente Petrolero) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oriente Petrolero) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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