Cavalry 1-1 Valour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 27 May 2024

Cavalry
1-1 HT 1-1
Valour
📅27/05/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

Cavalry vs Valour Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
20%
2.9
6+ Goals
10%
8.36
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.52 — our 29% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
64%
-14.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+10.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cavalry v Valour — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Valour EU Bookmakers 18%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.75/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.60
+20% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
20.9 Crosses 16.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2

Cavalry vs Valour Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Valour
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.17 xG 1.25
50% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 Passes 296
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 2-1 HT 1-1 Valour Valour CAPL
12.08.2023 Valour Valour 3-2 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
01.07.2023 Valour Valour 0-2 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
01.05.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 1-1 HT 1-0 Valour Valour CAPL
02.10.2022 Cavalry Cavalry 2-1 HT 1-0 Valour Valour CAPL
04.08.2022 Valour Valour 2-0 HT 1-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL

Cavalry 1-1 Valour — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
1-1
AWAY Valour
1.11 xG 0.21
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
346 Passes 257
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 7
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs Valour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry and Valour couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cavalry at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cavalry had 55% of the ball to Valour's 45%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.11 to 0.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cavalry and 1.33 for Valour.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs Valour?

Cavalry 1-1 Valour in the Kanada - Premier League on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs Valour?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 50%, draw 25%, Valour 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cavalry), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cavalry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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