KTP Kotka 2-1 KaPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.27
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.17
Over 2.5
67%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
7.87
2-3 Goals
38%
2.3
4-5 Goals
32%
2.4
6+ Goals
14%
4.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
74%
-9.0pp
18%
Draw
15%
+3.1pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+5.8pp
33%
Under 2.5
28%
+5.1pp
67%
Over 2.5
72%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY KaPa EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.63/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.71
+11% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
407 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KTP Kotka
2-1
AWAY KaPa
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KTP Kotka vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka squeezed past KaPa 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KTP Kotka as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%) came in.

On the day, KTP Kotka had 57% of the ball to KaPa's 43%, shots finished 20-13.

What was the final score of KTP Kotka vs KaPa?

KTP Kotka 2-1 KaPa in the Finland - Ykkönen on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KTP Kotka vs KaPa?

Before kick-off our model rated a KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split KTP Kotka 66%, draw 18%, KaPa 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KTP Kotka), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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