VPS 3-1 Inter Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VPS EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
1.59/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.63
+16% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
23.2 Crosses 17.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VPS
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Inter Turku
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.98 xG 1.47
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
318 Passes 328
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2023 VPS VPS 1-1 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
12.07.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-2 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
01.07.2023 VPS VPS 3-0 HT 2-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
19.10.2022 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-5 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
13.08.2022 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-1 HT 1-1 VPS VPS FİN
19.05.2022 VPS VPS 1-2 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VPS
3-1
AWAY Inter Turku
2.31 xG 1.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
312 Passes 308
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH VPS vs Inter Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VPS got the better of Inter Turku 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had VPS as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, VPS had 51% of the ball to Inter Turku's 49%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 2.31 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for VPS and 0.83 for Inter Turku.

What was the final score of VPS vs Inter Turku?

VPS 3-1 Inter Turku in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VPS vs Inter Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated a VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split VPS 48%, draw 23%, Inter Turku 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VPS), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (VPS) ✓ Over 2.5
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