Pyramids 1-0 El Gounah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.32
Draw
27%
4.81
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.21
Over 2.5
44%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
4.38
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
18%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
8.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.38 — our 30% vs market 17.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
71%
-18.4pp
27%
Draw
18%
+9.0pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pyramids EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY El Gounah EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.65/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.45
+8% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
422 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.5
20.4 Crosses 14.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pyramids
3W-1D-2L
AWAY El Gounah
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.51 xG 0.77
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
370 Passes 191
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2024 El Gounah El Gounah 0-4 HT 0-1 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
30.08.2022 Pyramids Pyramids 1-3 HT 0-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
01.05.2022 El Gounah El Gounah 1-2 HT 1-1 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
16.08.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 1-2 HT 0-1 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
25.02.2021 Pyramids Pyramids 1-1 HT 1-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
06.09.2020 El Gounah El Gounah 2-1 HT 0-1 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pyramids
1-0
AWAY El Gounah
0.61 xG 0.14
70% Ball Possession 30%
12 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 4
520 Passes 162
86% Pass Accuracy 65%
14 Box Touches 5
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Pyramids vs El Gounah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pyramids edged past El Gounah 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pyramids as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pyramids had 70% of the ball to El Gounah's 30%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 0.61 to 0.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pyramids had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Pyramids and 1.33 for El Gounah.

What was the final score of Pyramids vs El Gounah?

Pyramids 1-0 El Gounah in the Egypt - Premier League on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pyramids vs El Gounah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pyramids win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Pyramids 53%, draw 27%, El Gounah 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pyramids), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pyramids) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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