Union Comercio 1-1 Cienciano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.6pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.9pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Comercio EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cienciano EU Bookmakers 39%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
1.75/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.36
+35% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
19.3 Crosses 21.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Comercio
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Cienciano
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.01 xG 1.18
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
220 Passes 283
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
15.08.2023 Union Comercio Union Comercio 2-0 HT 1-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
19.03.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 3-1 HT 2-1 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
30.09.2015 Union Comercio Union Comercio 3-1 HT 2-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
24.05.2015 Cienciano Cienciano 3-2 HT 3-0 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
30.08.2014 Cienciano Cienciano 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Comercio
1-1
AWAY Cienciano
0.52 xG 0.51
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
230 Passes 357
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Comercio vs Cienciano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Comercio and Cienciano couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Union Comercio had 41% of the ball to Cienciano's 59%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 0.52 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cienciano led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Union Comercio and 1.80 for Cienciano.

What was the final score of Union Comercio vs Cienciano?

Union Comercio 1-1 Cienciano in the Peru - Premier League on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Comercio vs Cienciano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Comercio win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Union Comercio 37%, draw 31%, Cienciano 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Union Comercio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Comercio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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