Capital 1-4 Tacoma Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.14
Over 2.5
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.32
No
34%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
15%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-4.0pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.3pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.6pp
66%
BTTS Yes
72%
-5.4pp
34%
BTTS No
28%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Capital EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tacoma Stars EU Bookmakers 48%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Capital vs Tacoma Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tacoma Stars swept aside Capital 4-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tacoma Stars as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Capital vs Tacoma Stars?

Capital 1-4 Tacoma Stars in the USA - USL League 2 on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Capital vs Tacoma Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tacoma Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Capital 30%, draw 29%, Tacoma Stars 41%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tacoma Stars), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tacoma Stars) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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