AEgir 4-1 IR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 27 May 2026

📅27/05/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.75
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
57%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.46
No
35%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
27%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
23%
-1.5pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.0pp
57%
Away Win
55%
+2.5pp
65%
BTTS Yes
64%
+0.4pp
35%
BTTS No
36%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEgir EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY IR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 59%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.25/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.27
-10% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
311 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEgir
0W-1D-1L
AWAY IR Reykjavik
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
10.09.2022 AEgir AEgir 2-2 HT 0-0 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik İZL2
04.07.2022 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik 3-2 HT 1-1 AEgir AEgir İZL2
POST-MATCH AEgir vs IR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEgir cruised past IR Reykjavik 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had IR Reykjavik at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, IR Reykjavik led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AEgir and 2.50 for IR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of AEgir vs IR Reykjavik?

AEgir 4-1 IR Reykjavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 27/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEgir vs IR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an IR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split AEgir 22%, draw 21%, IR Reykjavik 57%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IR Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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