Ilves Tampere 1-0 TPS Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 27 May 2026

📅27/05/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
2.68
6+ Goals
11%
7.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 20%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.24/2.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.46
+18% / -72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +33%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
6W-0D-0L
AWAY TPS Turku
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.04.2023 TPS Turku TPS Turku 0-2 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİK
27.09.2020 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 4-0 HT 2-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN
07.07.2020 TPS Turku TPS Turku 0-1 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
25.08.2018 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-0 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN
30.07.2018 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-3 HT 0-2 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
26.05.2018 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-0 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
1-0
AWAY TPS Turku
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs TPS Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere squeezed past TPS Turku 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ilves Tampere as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ilves Tampere had 57% of the ball to TPS Turku's 43%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ilves Tampere and 0.17 for TPS Turku.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs TPS Turku?

Ilves Tampere 1-0 TPS Turku in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 27/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs TPS Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 53%, draw 25%, TPS Turku 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✗ BTTS Yes
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