Irtysh Pavlodar 1-1 Ulytau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 27 May 2026

📅27/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
27%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
38%
+8.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
27%
Away Win
34%
-6.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irtysh Pavlodar EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulytau EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.16/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-13% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
341 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Irtysh Pavlodar vs Ulytau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Irtysh Pavlodar and Ulytau shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Irtysh Pavlodar at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Irtysh Pavlodar vs Ulytau?

Irtysh Pavlodar 1-1 Ulytau in the Kazakistan - Super League on 27/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Irtysh Pavlodar vs Ulytau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Irtysh Pavlodar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Irtysh Pavlodar 47%, draw 26%, Ulytau 27%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Irtysh Pavlodar) ✗ BTTS No
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