Awassa Kenema 1-1 Bahardar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 27 Jun 2024

📅27/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.75
No
40%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
27%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.5pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.0pp
42%
Away Win
53%
-11.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.7pp
40%
BTTS No
47%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahardar EU Bookmakers 57%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Awassa Kenema
1-1
AWAY Bahardar
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Awassa Kenema vs Bahardar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Awassa Kenema and Bahardar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bahardar at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Awassa Kenema had 46% of the ball to Bahardar's 54%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of Awassa Kenema vs Bahardar?

Awassa Kenema 1-1 Bahardar in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 27/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Awassa Kenema vs Bahardar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bahardar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Awassa Kenema 28%, draw 30%, Bahardar 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bahardar), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bahardar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ETH More Etiyopya - Premier League
27 Jun 2024
18:00 Dire Dawa Kenema vs Sidama Bunna Analysis →