Spartak Moskova 3-1 Torpedo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Jun 2024

📅27/06/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
29%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
62%
-15.6pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.9pp
29%
Away Win
17%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Moskova
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
3.14 xG 0.66
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
369 Passes 252
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
38 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.04.2023 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-2 HT 0-2 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
30.10.2022 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS
21.03.2015 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 0-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
14.09.2014 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-1 HT 1-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS
22.10.2006 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
07.05.2006 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-0 HT 1-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS
POST-MATCH Spartak Moskova vs Torpedo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova beat Torpedo Moscow 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Spartak Moskova and 0.50 for Torpedo Moscow.

What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Torpedo Moscow?

Spartak Moskova 3-1 Torpedo Moscow in the Friendlies on 27/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Torpedo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 47%, draw 24%, Torpedo Moscow 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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