FK Riteriai 5-1 Neptüna Klaipeda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 27 Jun 2024

📅27/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.7pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Riteriai EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 34%
-20% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.91/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.64
-42% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -8%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Riteriai
5-1
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 14
12 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Riteriai vs Neptüna Klaipeda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Riteriai ran out comfortable winners over Neptüna Klaipeda 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Riteriai as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FK Riteriai had 52% of the ball to Neptüna Klaipeda's 48%, shots finished 19-14.

What was the final score of FK Riteriai vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

FK Riteriai 5-1 Neptüna Klaipeda in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 27/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Riteriai vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Riteriai win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FK Riteriai 45%, draw 24%, Neptüna Klaipeda 31%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Riteriai), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Riteriai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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