Masr 4-1 El Geish — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 27 Jun 2024

📅27/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.25
2-3 Goals
46%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.47
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Masr EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY El Geish EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.69/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.03
+57% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
24.3 Crosses 17.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Masr
0W-0D-3L
AWAY El Geish
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.35 xG 1.09
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
188 Passes 356
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.12.2023 El Geish El Geish 1-0 HT 0-0 Masr MSR
19.10.2020 Masr 0-1 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
04.02.2020 El Geish El Geish 4-0 HT 1-0 Masr MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Masr
4-1
AWAY El Geish
0.78 xG 0.62
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
271 Passes 285
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Masr vs El Geish
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Masr swept aside El Geish 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Masr as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Masr had 50% of the ball to El Geish's 50%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.78 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, El Geish led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Masr and 2.00 for El Geish.

What was the final score of Masr vs El Geish?

Masr 4-1 El Geish in the Egypt - Premier League on 27/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Masr vs El Geish?

Before kick-off our model rated a Masr win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Masr 50%, draw 27%, El Geish 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Masr) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Masr) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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