Aragua 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 27 Jun 2024

Aragua
1-2
Deportivo La Guaira
📅27/06/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
VENK – 2025

Aragua vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aragua v Deportivo La Guaira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aragua EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Aragua vs Deportivo La Guaira Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aragua
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
46% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.08.2022 Aragua Aragua 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
22.04.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 3-3 HT 1-2 Aragua Aragua VEN
11.09.2021 Aragua Aragua 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
23.07.2021 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 5-0 HT 4-0 Aragua Aragua VEN
04.06.2021 Aragua Aragua 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN

Aragua 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aragua
1-2
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aragua vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira edged past Aragua 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Deportivo La Guaira found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Aragua had 54% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 46%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aragua and 2.20 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Aragua vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Aragua 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira in the VENK on 27/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aragua vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Aragua 35%, draw 28%, Deportivo La Guaira 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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