AEgir 2-4 Haukar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 27 Jul 2024

AEgir
2-4 HT 1-3
Haukar
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
17%
3.72
Away
44%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.8pp
17%
Draw
24%
-6.2pp
44%
Away Win
34%
+9.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.3pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEgir EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Haukar EU Bookmakers 38%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.48/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.17
+53% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
406 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEgir
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Haukar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
17.05.2024 Haukar Haukar 1-1 HT 1-1 AEgir AEgir İZL2
29.08.2022 AEgir AEgir 2-0 HT 1-0 Haukar Haukar İZL2
03.06.2022 Haukar Haukar 0-1 HT 0-1 AEgir AEgir İZL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEgir
2-4
AWAY Haukar
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AEgir vs Haukar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haukar saw off AEgir 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 17% / 44% — and on the day Haukar made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, AEgir had 44% of the ball to Haukar's 56%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, AEgir had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for AEgir and 0.33 for Haukar.

What was the final score of AEgir vs Haukar?

AEgir 2-4 Haukar in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEgir vs Haukar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Haukar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AEgir 39%, draw 17%, Haukar 44%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haukar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Haukar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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