Union Espanola 2-1 Cobresal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.6pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cobresal EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.67/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.49
+12% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
20.2 Crosses 14.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Espanola
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cobresal
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.00 xG 1.09
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
392 Passes 302
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2024 Cobresal Cobresal 2-2 HT 1-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
09.12.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-0 HT 0-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
22.05.2023 Cobresal Cobresal 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
03.10.2022 Cobresal Cobresal 2-0 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
27.04.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 2-2 HT 0-1 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
06.12.2021 Union Espanola Union Espanola 0-1 HT 0-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Espanola
2-1
AWAY Cobresal
1.60 xG 2.10
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 11
8 Corners 5
409 Passes 197
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 35
30 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Union Espanola vs Cobresal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Espanola squeezed past Cobresal 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Espanola as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Union Espanola had 62% of the ball to Cobresal's 38%, shots finished 15-21, expected goals 1.60 to 2.10 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cobresal.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cobresal led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Union Espanola and 1.17 for Cobresal.

What was the final score of Union Espanola vs Cobresal?

Union Espanola 2-1 Cobresal in the Chile - Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Espanola vs Cobresal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Espanola win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Union Espanola 46%, draw 27%, Cobresal 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Espanola), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Espanola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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