27/07/2024
·
18:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
1-3
Wohnbau Diet. vs Wels Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
24%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
32%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
14%
16%
Draw
18%
68%
Away Win
68%
35%
Under 2.5
35%
65%
Over 2.5
65%
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
47%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wohnbau Diet. v Wels — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Wohnbau Diet.
EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY
Wels
EU Bookmakers 72%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
43%
Ball Possession
57%
10
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Target
7
5
Corners
6
292 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
369 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Wohnbau Diet. vs Wels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Wels got the better of Wohnbau Diet. 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wels as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Wohnbau Diet. vs Wels?
Wohnbau Diet. 0-2 Wels in the Austria - ÖFB Cup on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wohnbau Diet. vs Wels?
Before kick-off our model rated an Wels win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Wohnbau Diet. 16%, draw 16%, Wels 68%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wels) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Wels)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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27 Jul 2024