Santa Cruz 0-1 Oriente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+6.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
49%
Away Win
53%
-4.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 57%
-13% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.73/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/1.03
-30% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +55%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 77%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.7
18.0 Crosses 20.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Cruz
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.09 xG 1.63
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
154 Passes 274
63% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 0-5 HT 0-3 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
11.05.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 0-1 HT 0-1 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
06.10.2022 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 3-1 HT 1-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
14.05.2022 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-2 HT 1-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
02.04.2022 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 2-1 HT 0-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
05.12.2021 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 2-0 HT 0-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Cruz
0-1
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
0.97 xG 0.69
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
169 Passes 191
70% Pass Accuracy 67%
21 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Santa Cruz vs Oriente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oriente Petrolero squeezed past Santa Cruz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Oriente Petrolero as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santa Cruz had 46% of the ball to Oriente Petrolero's 54%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 0.97 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santa Cruz and 2.00 for Oriente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Santa Cruz vs Oriente Petrolero?

Santa Cruz 0-1 Oriente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Cruz vs Oriente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oriente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Santa Cruz 30%, draw 21%, Oriente Petrolero 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oriente Petrolero) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oriente Petrolero) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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