CSKA Sofia 3-1 Hebar 1918 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 27 Jul 2024

CSKA Sofia
3-1 HT 2-0
Hebar 1918
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Bulgaria - 1st Division – 2025/2026

CSKA Sofia vs Hebar 1918 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.16
Draw
22%
6.26
Away
17%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.44
No
52%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
82%
-20.3pp
22%
Draw
13%
+9.3pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+11.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
37%
+10.7pp
52%
BTTS No
63%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CSKA Sofia v Hebar 1918 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 8%
-15% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.94/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.91
-13% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

CSKA Sofia vs Hebar 1918 Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Hebar 1918
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.11.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 3-0 HT 1-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
16.07.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
04.05.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 0-4 HT 0-3 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Hebar 1918
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia got the better of Hebar 1918 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for CSKA Sofia and 0.00 for Hebar 1918.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Hebar 1918?

CSKA Sofia 3-1 Hebar 1918 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Hebar 1918?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 61%, draw 22%, Hebar 1918 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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