El Salvador U20 1-2 Kanada U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF U20, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
47%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+7.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-8.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Salvador U20 EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Kanada U20 EU Bookmakers 60%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
0.30/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/1.21
-50% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +51%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
301 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 84%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
12.0 Crosses 23.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Salvador U20
1-2
AWAY Kanada U20
0.85 xG 2.13
35% Ball Possession 65%
18 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 0
165 Passes 407
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH El Salvador U20 vs Kanada U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kanada U20 edged past El Salvador U20 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kanada U20 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, El Salvador U20 had 35% of the ball to Kanada U20's 65%, shots finished 18-18, expected goals 0.85 to 2.13 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kanada U20's control.

What was the final score of El Salvador U20 vs Kanada U20?

El Salvador U20 1-2 Kanada U20 in the CONCACAF U20 on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Salvador U20 vs Kanada U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kanada U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split El Salvador U20 29%, draw 24%, Kanada U20 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kanada U20), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kanada U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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