Roskilde 1-2 B93 Kopenhag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.23
Over 2.5
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.64
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.86
6+ Goals
9%
8.08
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.64 — our 31% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.18
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
17%
5.45
X/2
10%
6.28
X/X
16%
5.38
2/1
6%
24.0
2/2
18%
3.88
2/X
5%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.5pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roskilde EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY B93 Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.53/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/5.00
+1% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% / -71%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
Crosses 5.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roskilde
1W-0D-0L
AWAY B93 Kopenhag
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.07.2022 B93 Kopenhag B93 Kopenhag 1-3 HT 0-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roskilde
1-2
AWAY B93 Kopenhag
1.49 xG 1.60
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 1
440 Passes 294
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 24
29 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Roskilde vs B93 Kopenhag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

B93 Kopenhag edged past Roskilde 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day B93 Kopenhag made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Roskilde had 59% of the ball to B93 Kopenhag's 41%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.49 to 1.60.

What was the final score of Roskilde vs B93 Kopenhag?

Roskilde 1-2 B93 Kopenhag in the Denmark 1st Division on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roskilde vs B93 Kopenhag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roskilde win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Roskilde 39%, draw 27%, B93 Kopenhag 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roskilde) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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